Posts Tagged ‘pricing’

Using Dynamic Price Floors to Protect Publisher Value

January 18th, 2011

Mark McEachran

I was reading a recent post on AdExchanger, “Smoking the RTB Weed,” about a Real-time bidding paper Metamarkets was gearing up to present at an industry event and it got me thinking… (n.b. If you’re not already familiar with RTB, you might want to start with my earlier post on the topic to get up to speed. This post is pretty ‘inside baseball.’)

There’s a lot concern in the online ad ecosystem around the disparity of data between publishers and advertisers. These are not new concerns but they are attracting a lot of attention due to the opportunity that Real-Time Bidding (RTB) presents in leveling the playing field. Historically advertisers have been incentivized to understand the audience behind the publisher in order to maximize their yield. This has led to a large investment in technology to serve the advertiser, tilting the balance of information to their favor and leading to rampant arbitrage.  As a result, most impressions are still sold without adequate protection.

Real-Time Bidding affords the publisher an opportunity to rebalance the terms of the sale of inventory. In fact, in many ways the savvy, well-armed publisher can leverage RTB to gain an advantage in that each impression is evaluated and assigned a value by several buyers.  During an auction only one buyer can purchase the impression, but the data gathered from the other buyers is not discarded, rather it is captured by the publisher (or in our customers’ case, by REVV) and stored for analysis and pricing determination on all future bids.

One form of that analysis is auction simulation.  Using a Hadoop cluster and proprietary algorithms the REVV platform simulates the auction at different price floors, usually at penny increments between five cents and 20 dollars.  During the simulation the system records the revenue gained for each impression whether it goes to the highest bidder at the second price, at the floor price or even if the floor prices out all bids and the impression goes to a non-RTB demand source.  After the simulation another algorithm runs through the revenue at each floor and determines at which floor price the revenue is maximized.  These simulations are run at different levels of audience granularity and the resulting, boiled data is stored.

REVV pricing intelligence algorithms draw on this data whenever a publisher has configured a segment of their inventory to use a dynamic floor.  The publisher has the option to choose a price range for that inventory and REVV responds by providing the optimal floor within that range. If the publisher doesn’t choose to set their own price range, REVV will make a price range recommendation based on the bid price and volume distribution. Either way, new floors are constantly set and re-set for the inventory in response to changes in demand.

Dynamic Price Floors is just one of the ways that the REVV platform empowers the publisher to claim higher yield from their inventory, and reclaim balance in the marketplace. We’re excited to announce that we’ve released enhanced Dynamic Pricing Floor technology today, and we’ll use this space to keep our customers and partners up to date on the results we see in the weeks and months ahead.

Optimizing for 2011

November 19th, 2010

Devan Fearman

What a year it’s been, both here at the Rubicon Project and across our industry. As we witnessed among publishers leveraging the REVV platform and recorded in a few of our past market reports – the industry has continued to see growth in advertising spend throughout the year.  In Q2 alone, the Rubicon 20 Index, a measure of performance across a number of factors (including CPM, revenue and traffic volume) on a roster of twenty of the Web’s most heavily-trafficked properties, rose 47 percent  since the start of 2010.  And this trend has been echoed by numerous industry research firms. The Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB) recently released a report with PriceWaterhouseCoopers, finding ad revenues up by 17 percent in Q3, reaching $6.4 billion.

Looking ahead to 2011, eMarketer predicts total U.S. online ad spend will reach $27.2 billion, which is no surprise. With the market innovations we and our industry peers continue to deliver to the industry, we firmly believe that overall display market is becoming more efficient and effective. As such, we expect marketers to continue to drive more dollars toward display advertising in order to reach hundreds of millions of consumers around the world.

That said, factors both new and old will affect Q1 spend. Historically, seasonal market factors influence online advertising revenue most significantly between Q4 & Q1 as holiday campaigns close out, budgets for the New Year take time to ramp up and the overall market tends to drop in January. We anticipate this will be true again in 2011.

There are certainly economic factors that will impact online advertising revenue in Q1, and while we’re optimistic, we can’t pretend to know exactly what’s coming. Between our strong partnerships and direct access to over 600 ad networks, exchanges and DSPs that access audience and inventory through the REVV Marketplace, we know many advertisers have not yet set their Q1 budgets for 2011 – potentially slowing already reduced first quarter spending.

On the flip side, reports continue to suggest that brands are moving dollars away from traditional media and onto the more measurable online access points to publisher inventory, including real-time bidding (RTB). For these reasons, no one knows what kind of impact we may see in Q1. The number of demand partners in the marketplace has nearly doubled year over year, which could also make the seasonal Q1 decline less impactful. All those variables aside, it is possible that in the early part of the quarter some publishers will experience diminished fill rates and CPM rate drops. In years past, an upward tick begins midway through the quarter; the same will likely be true in 2011.

As a partner to more than 350 premium publishers and the developer of REVV, the technology platform that powers the largest display ad marketplace in the world, the Rubicon Project is taking steps to ensure continued revenue growth for publishers in the new year. Through the REVV Marketplace, premium publishers are exposed to the maximum number of demand channels possible – which will help drive higher revenue. And different from previous years, publishers may also minimize the seasonal impact of Q1 by  leveraging Protected RTB™ 1.1 technology as an additional demand channel.

The graph below expresses, with 2.5 years of historical pricing data captured through the REVV Yield Optimization platform, the seasonal impacts of CPMs throughout the year. All variables remaining constant (traffic fluctuations, user session length, RTB, ad types and sizes, advertiser block lists, geography and other macro-economic variables) January is clearly the lowest paying month of the year trending upward for the remainder of the year and ending on a high note in December with CPM’s at 53% higher than January. Additionally, while ad spend is lower at the beginning of each quarter, there is consistent upward pressure driving CPMs higher quarter over quarter.